Bitcoin’s fate may be tied to Binance’s growing bullish bias – Here’s how

Bitcoin’s market sentiment has remained tilted toward the bearish side for weeks, with the latest decline over the past day pushing the asset down to the $86,000 level.

Whether Bitcoin [BTC] stages a recovery or extends its downward trend will depend on several market factors, with trading activity on Binance standing out as a key signal to watch.

According to CoinMarketCap, Binance remains the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by global user base. This dominance offers insight into broader market behavior and investor positioning.

Based on these dynamics, AMBCrypto examines what current Bitcoin investment activity on Binance suggests.

Capital floods Binance as trading hits record levels

Activity on Binance has intensified noticeably.

A recent CryptoQuant report shows that capital inflows into Binance have reached $1.17 trillion, representing a 31% year-on-year increase and the highest inflow recorded across all exchanges.

In both the Spot and perpetual markets—where investor conviction is most clearly expressed—the signals are increasingly evident.

Spot trading volume has reached a record high, hitting $7 trillion so far this year.

This surge confirms strong investor participation and marks a significant gap between Binance and its closest competitor, Bybit, which recorded nearly five times less spot trading volume.

A similar pattern appears in the perpetual Futures market, where Binance leads with a cumulative volume of $24.5 trillion.

The report also notes that this activity stems from more than 300 million investors, reinforcing Binance’s market dominance.

More importantly, it suggests that Bitcoin’s next major price move could be influenced by this cohort of traders.

Bullish positioning grows on Binance market

Binance investors have increasingly pointed toward a possible bullish rebound, particularly within the perpetual Futures market.

Currently, Binance controls the largest share of Bitcoin Open Interest, valued at $10.90 billion, while total market-wide Open Interest stands at $58.63 billion.

This imbalance highlights Binance’s influence on price direction. Beneath the surface, trading data shows that volume has been largely driven by bullish positioning, with investors favoring long trades.

This trend is confirmed by the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, also known as the Long/Short Ratio, which measures whether buyers or sellers dominate market volume.

Taker buys lead with a ratio of 2.2 at press time, a notably strong reading that sat well above the neutral level of 1.

If Binance’s Open Interest continues to rise alongside elevated trading volume skewed toward bullish positions, the market could be approaching a rebound.

At the time of writing, Binance’s Bitcoin trading volume was $16.58 billion.

Bitcoin market hesitates

The broader market has yet to fully reflect the bullish signals emerging from Binance investors.

In the Spot market, however, sentiment appears constructive.

Notably, investors purchased roughly $83 million worth of Bitcoin over the past day. Cumulative net transactions showed that about $315 million worth of Bitcoin has been accumulated since the start of the week.

Meanwhile, the wider Bitcoin perpetual market remained slightly bearish. The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio across the broader market was 0.98, indicating marginal seller dominance.

While readings below 1 favor sellers, the narrow gap suggests weak bearish conviction.

Other perpetual market indicators, including the Funding Rate and the Open Interest-Weighted Funding Rate, continued to point toward a bullish bias.

Overall, Bitcoin’s investors appear increasingly optimistic, with the broader market gradually catching up. A sustained accumulation phase could provide the momentum needed to push Bitcoin back towards $90,000.

Final Thoughts

• Crypto trading hits $1.17 trillion on Binance as other exchanges scramble to catch up, putting Bitcoin on the line.
• Investors on Binance are pricing in Bitcoin ahead of the broader market, signaling bullish sentiment.