ExchangeDEX+
Buy CryptoMarketsSpotFuturesGOLDEarnEvent Center
More
ICP Zero-Fee Gala
The post AERO Weekly Analysis Jan 20 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. AERO, with a 6.71% weekly decline approaching critical supports at $0.46, the downtrendThe post AERO Weekly Analysis Jan 20 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. AERO, with a 6.71% weekly decline approaching critical supports at $0.46, the downtrend

AERO Weekly Analysis Jan 20

Author: BitcoinEthereumNewsSource: BitcoinEthereumNews
2026/01/21 10:47
Aerodrome Finance
AERO$0.3887-0.33%
Belong
LONG$0.002819-4.63%
Bitcoin
BTC$77,809.23-1.03%

AERO, with a 6.71% weekly decline approaching critical supports at $0.46, the downtrend structure appears intact. Bitcoin’s weak performance is increasing pressure on altcoins; the $0.4136 support will be decisive for position traders.

AERO in the Weekly Market Summary

AERO traded in a narrow $0.46-$0.50 band last week and continued its primary downtrend with a 6.71% loss. Although RSI at 36.28 is approaching oversold territory, the negative MACD histogram and positioning below EMA20 ($0.54) confirm bearish momentum. Volume profile remained low at $11.87M, indicating the trend structure is in the distribution phase. In the macro context, Bitcoin’s weakness around $88K (24h -4.96%) is preventing altcoin rotation. From a market cycle perspective, AERO is showing signals of transitioning from correction phase to potential capitulation; however, long positions remain risky as long as the trend filter stays bearish.

Trend Structure and Market Phases

Long-Term Trend Analysis

The long-term trend structure exhibits a clear downtrend; higher highs and higher lows are broken. On the weekly timeframe, price remains below EMA50 ($0.61) and EMA200 ($0.72), confirming the bear market phase. Market structure shows $0.61 resistance as a strong trend filter with lower highs. Trend remains intact as long as price stays below $0.4997; reversal is only debatable in case of breakout. From a portfolio manager perspective, accumulation is premature in this structure; distribution tails are observed in volume.

Accumulation/Distribution Analysis

Market phase analysis shows signs of emerging distribution patterns. In the volume profile, high volume nodes around $0.50 reflect selling pressure, while low-volume declines may indicate weak hands shakeout. Accumulation phase characteristics are absent yet; lack of RSI divergence and MACD bearish cross suggest smart money is exiting. According to Wyckoff methodology, SOS (sign of strength) should be awaited in this markdown phase, but rising BTC dominance could trigger prolonged distribution in altcoins. Position traders should monitor volume spikes at $0.4136.

Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Daily Chart View

On the daily chart, AERO is struggling to hold above $0.4493 support (score 60/100). On 1D, there is 2 support / 1 resistance confluence; price is within a bearish channel below EMA20. Key inflection point at $0.4997; downside acceleration expected after breakout failure. Momentum is weak, RSI at 36 carries bounce potential, but confluence is bearish – risk increases if daily close below $0.46. Check detailed charts in AERO Spot Analysis.

Weekly Chart View

Weekly view dominated by downtrend; on 1W, there is 2 support / 3 resistance breakdown. Price near weekly lows ($0.46), major support $0.4136 (score 69/100) carries confluence. EMA50 resistance strong at $0.61; trend structure suggests prolonged weakness unless BTC rally. Multi-TF confluence makes the $0.4493-$0.4136 band critical – breakdown could accelerate capitulation. Evaluate futures positions with AERO Futures Analysis data.

Critical Decision Points

Key levels defining trend direction: Major Support $0.4136 (69/100, multi-TF confluence), $0.4493 (60/100, daily pivot). Major Resistance $0.4997 (61/100, EMA20 cluster), $0.61 (trend filter). Upside objective $0.7307 (13 score, distant target), downside risk $0.1490 (22 score). Strategic R/R ratio offers 1:2+ for longs above $0.4997, 1:3+ for shorts below $0.4136. As long as these levels hold, market structure remains bearish. Visit AERO and other analyses page for all analyses.

Weekly Strategy Recommendation

In Case of Upside

Bullish scenario: Daily close above $0.4997 + volume increase moves to $0.61. Long entry on $0.50 breakout, stop below $0.4493, target $0.7307. Confluence increases with BTC breaking $90K+ resistance. Position size max 2-3%, trail stop with EMA20. Await accumulation signals (RSI divergence); macro BTC rally required.

In Case of Downside

Bearish scenario: Breakdown of $0.4493 tests $0.4136, then $0.1490 risk. Short entry on breakdown below $0.46, stop above $0.4997, target $0.4136 / $0.1490 scale out. BTC drop below $86K creates cascade effect in altcoins. Risk 1-2% per trade, distribution confirmation with volume.

Bitcoin Correlation

AERO is highly correlated with BTC (+0.85 est.); BTC downtrend ($88,238, -4.96%) is pressuring altcoins. BTC key supports $88,300 / $86,637 / $84,691; breakdown directly impacts AERO at $0.4136. Resistances $90,944 / $92,953; no altcoin rotation while BTC Supertrend bearish – AERO weakness could amplify BTC drops by 2x. Rising BTC dominance favors AERO shorts; clearance above $90K provides long confluence.

Conclusion: Key Points for Next Week

To watch next week: $0.4493 / $0.4136 support tests, BTC $88K hold/rejection, volume spikes, and RSI divergence. Trend intact below $0.4997; position traders stay patient and R/R focused. Macro BTC caution carries capitulation risk in altcoins – prioritize defense over early accumulation.

This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.

Strategy Analyst: David Kim

Macro market analysis and portfolio management

This analysis is not investment advice. Do your own research.

Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/aero-weekly-strategy-downtrend-being-tested-at-critical-supports-january-20-2026

Market Opportunity
Aerodrome Finance Logo
Aerodrome Finance Price(AERO)
$0.3887
$0.3887$0.3887
+3.76%
USD
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact [email protected] for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Is Putnam Global Technology A (PGTAX) a strong mutual fund pick right now?

Is Putnam Global Technology A (PGTAX) a strong mutual fund pick right now?

The post Is Putnam Global Technology A (PGTAX) a strong mutual fund pick right now? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. On the lookout for a Sector – Tech fund? Starting with Putnam Global Technology A (PGTAX – Free Report) should not be a possibility at this time. PGTAX possesses a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank of 4 (Sell), which is based on various forecasting factors like size, cost, and past performance. Objective We note that PGTAX is a Sector – Tech option, and this area is loaded with many options. Found in a wide number of industries such as semiconductors, software, internet, and networking, tech companies are everywhere. Thus, Sector – Tech mutual funds that invest in technology let investors own a stake in a notoriously volatile sector, but with a much more diversified approach. History of fund/manager Putnam Funds is based in Canton, MA, and is the manager of PGTAX. The Putnam Global Technology A made its debut in January of 2009 and PGTAX has managed to accumulate roughly $650.01 million in assets, as of the most recently available information. The fund is currently managed by Di Yao who has been in charge of the fund since December of 2012. Performance Obviously, what investors are looking for in these funds is strong performance relative to their peers. PGTAX has a 5-year annualized total return of 14.46%, and is in the middle third among its category peers. But if you are looking for a shorter time frame, it is also worth looking at its 3-year annualized total return of 27.02%, which places it in the middle third during this time-frame. It is important to note that the product’s returns may not reflect all its expenses. Any fees not reflected would lower the returns. Total returns do not reflect the fund’s [%] sale charge. If sales charges were included, total returns would have been lower. When looking at a fund’s performance, it…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 04:05
Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC

Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC

The post Franklin Templeton CEO Dismisses 50bps Rate Cut Ahead FOMC appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson has weighed in on whether the Federal Reserve should make a 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut or 50 bps cut. This comes ahead of the Fed decision today at today’s FOMC meeting, with the market pricing in a 25 bps cut. Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are currently trading flat ahead of the rate cut decision. Franklin Templeton CEO Weighs In On Potential FOMC Decision In a CNBC interview, Jenny Johnson said that she expects the Fed to make a 25 bps cut today instead of a 50 bps cut. She acknowledged the jobs data, which suggested that the labor market is weakening. However, she noted that this data is backward-looking, indicating that it doesn’t show the current state of the economy. She alluded to the wage growth, which she remarked is an indication of a robust labor market. She added that retail sales are up and that consumers are still spending, despite inflation being sticky at 3%, which makes a case for why the FOMC should opt against a 50-basis-point Fed rate cut. In line with this, the Franklin Templeton CEO said that she would go with a 25 bps rate cut if she were Jerome Powell. She remarked that the Fed still has the October and December FOMC meetings to make further cuts if the incoming data warrants it. Johnson also asserted that the data show a robust economy. However, she noted that there can’t be an argument for no Fed rate cut since Powell already signaled at Jackson Hole that they were likely to lower interest rates at this meeting due to concerns over a weakening labor market. Notably, her comment comes as experts argue for both sides on why the Fed should make a 25 bps cut or…
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 00:36
OpenVPP accused of falsely advertising cooperation with the US government; SEC commissioner clarifies no involvement

OpenVPP accused of falsely advertising cooperation with the US government; SEC commissioner clarifies no involvement

PANews reported on September 17th that on-chain sleuth ZachXBT tweeted that OpenVPP ( $OVPP ) announced this week that it was collaborating with the US government to advance energy tokenization. SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce subsequently responded, stating that the company does not collaborate with or endorse any private crypto projects. The OpenVPP team subsequently hid the response. Several crypto influencers have participated in promoting the project, and the accounts involved have been questioned as typical influencer accounts.
Share
PANews2025/09/17 23:58