TON Price Prediction: Oversold Bounce Could Target $2.00-$2.40 by March 2026

Rebeca Moen
Feb 01, 2026 16:23

TON Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $1.45-$1.52 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.80-$2.20 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.44 • Critical support:…

TON Price Prediction Summary

• Short-term target (1 week): $1.45-$1.52
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.80-$2.20 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.44
• Critical support: $1.19

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin

Recent analyst coverage has been notably bullish on Toncoin’s recovery prospects despite current weakness. Iris Coleman highlighted on January 30, 2026: “Toncoin trades at $1.44 with oversold RSI at 32.92. Multiple analysts target $2.00-$2.40 recovery by February 2026 as TON approaches critical support levels.”

Terrill Dicki provided a comprehensive TON price prediction on January 29, noting: “TON Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $1.52-$1.60; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.00-$2.40 range; Bullish breakout level: $1.60; Critical support: $1.35.”

Alvin Lang reinforced the bullish Toncoin forecast on January 26: “Toncoin shows oversold conditions at $1.53 with analysts targeting $2.00-$2.40 by February 2026. Technical indicators suggest potential bounce from current support levels.”

The consensus among these analysts suggests significant upside potential for TON, with price targets representing 50-80% gains from current levels.

TON Technical Analysis Breakdown

Toncoin’s technical picture presents a classic oversold setup that historically precedes significant bounces. Trading at $1.31, TON has declined 2.81% in the past 24 hours but shows several encouraging technical signals.

The RSI at 25.57 indicates extreme oversold conditions, well below the traditional oversold threshold of 30. This suggests selling pressure may be exhausted and a bounce could be imminent.

Moving average analysis reveals the extent of TON’s decline. Price sits significantly below all major moving averages: 34% below the 200-day SMA ($2.37), 19% below the 50-day SMA ($1.61), and 11% below the 20-day SMA ($1.57). This wide divergence often marks capitulation bottoms.

Bollinger Bands confirm the oversold condition with TON’s %B position at 0.0018, meaning price is hugging the lower band at $1.31. Historically, prices touching the lower Bollinger Band often bounce toward the middle band ($1.57), representing 20% upside.

The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum is flatlining, suggesting the downtrend may be losing steam. A positive MACD crossover would confirm trend reversal.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The primary TON price prediction in a bullish scenario targets the $2.00-$2.40 range based on analyst consensus and technical resistance levels.

Immediate resistance sits at $1.38 (24-hour high), followed by stronger resistance at $1.44. A break above $1.44 would confirm the oversold bounce and open the path toward $1.57 (20-day SMA) and eventually $1.61 (50-day SMA).

Extended targets align with analyst forecasts of $2.00-$2.40, which would require TON to reclaim the 200-day SMA area. This represents potential gains of 50-80% from current levels.

Bearish Scenario

The bear case for this Toncoin forecast focuses on breakdown below current support levels. Immediate support at $1.25 (24-hour low) represents the first critical level to hold.

A break below $1.25 would expose the strong support at $1.19, which represents a 9% decline from current levels. Further breakdown could target the $1.00 psychological level, representing 24% downside risk.

Volume analysis shows $13.8 million in 24-hour trading, which is moderate but not indicating panic selling. However, sustained low volume could lead to further drift lower.

Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy

For those considering a TON position, the current technical setup offers a compelling risk-reward opportunity. The primary entry zone sits between $1.25-$1.31, allowing investors to buy near technical support levels.

Conservative investors should wait for confirmation above $1.44 before entering, sacrificing some upside for reduced risk. This approach ensures the oversold bounce is confirmed before committing capital.

Stop-loss placement should be positioned below $1.19 to limit downside risk to approximately 9% from current levels. This level represents significant technical support and its breakdown would invalidate the bullish thesis.

Position sizing should remain modest given cryptocurrency volatility. Consider scaling into positions rather than making large single purchases, allowing for additional buying if prices decline further.

Conclusion

This TON price prediction suggests significant upside potential as Toncoin exhibits classic oversold characteristics at $1.31. With RSI at 25.57 and price touching the lower Bollinger Band, technical conditions favor a bounce toward analyst targets of $2.00-$2.40.

The confluence of analyst bullishness and oversold technicals creates a compelling setup for the coming weeks. However, cryptocurrency markets remain highly volatile and unpredictable.

Risk management remains crucial, with stops below $1.19 essential to limit downside exposure. While the Toncoin forecast appears optimistic, investors should never risk more than they can afford to lose in volatile digital assets.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk and past performance does not guarantee future results.

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