Aptos: Downtrend deepens, but APT’s relief bounce is still possible

Aptos [APT] has been in a bearish longer-term trend throughout 2025. The token was down 8.55% for the day, having made a new all-time low at $1.14.

Further downside appeared highly likely, though a minor relief rally is possible before Monday.

In December 2025, AMBCrypto noted that Sui [SUI] outperformed Aptos in DeFi liquidity, though both were powered by the Move programming language. More recently, it was observed that Sui had maintained this lead.

The monthly active developers count for Sui was twice that of Aptos, and a similar disparity was seen in their Total Value Locked (TVL). On the price action front, APT’s fall to new lows was disheartening for holders.

No light at the end of the tunnel

On the 3-day timeframe, Aptos has possessed a bearish swing structure since June 2025, when the $4.32 was breached.

Over the past few months, the 23.6% southward extension level at $1.72 has also been tested, then flipped from support to resistance.

The 20-period moving average served as a dynamic resistance and captured the strength of the downward momentum. The CMF was well below -0.05 for over two months to signal heavy capital outflows.

More losses appeared highly likely.

The chance of a brief APT relief rally

The liquidation map showed that the cumulative short liquidation leverage outweighed the nearby long leverage.

Therefore, it is highly likely that APT would see a bounce toward $1.50-$1.55. It is unclear if this bounce will come immediately.

Traders’ call to action – Sell the bounce

Using the latest H4 impulse move lower to plot a set of Fibonacci levels, the $1.44 and $1.52 retracement levels immediately stand out.

What’s more, they line up well with the high-leverage short liquidations on the liquidation map earlier.

Therefore, APT traders can wait for a price bounce to this zone before selling.

Final Thoughts

• The Aptos price trend has been bearish for many months, leading to the token setting new all-time lows.
• The 4-hour price chart showed there was potential for an APT bounce to $1.52 before a bearish move commenced.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.