ETH January 16, 2026: Mild Correction in the Uptrend and Critical Levels

Ethereum (ETH) is consolidating within a strong uptrend around 3.306 dollars, experiencing a slight correction on the daily chart. RSI at 63 shows healthy momentum, while the critical resistance level at 3.352 dollars awaits testing – breaking this level could open the door to the 4,000 dollar bull target.

Market Outlook and Current Situation

The Ethereum market is trading at 3.306,58 dollars with a slight 0.60% drop over the last 24 hours, while maintaining its overall uptrend. On the daily timeframe, ETH is moving in the 3.273,72 – 3.384,19 dollar range and stands solid in terms of liquidity with a volume of 19,74 billion dollars. This volume level indicates that the market remains active and major players are holding their positions. In the context of the long-term uptrend, ETH’s current position can be interpreted as a breathing phase for the rally of recent weeks – especially during a period where it sustains its own momentum without lingering in Bitcoin’s shadow.

From a multi-timeframe (MTF) alignment perspective, the situation is quite intriguing: A total of 11 strong levels have been identified across daily (1D), 3-day (3D), and weekly (1W) charts. Their distribution – 2 supports/1 resistance on 1D, 1 support/2 resistances on 3D, and 3 supports/3 resistances on 1W – reflects a balanced consolidation scenario. The lack of significant news flow shows that technical factors are at the forefront. Investors can evaluate their current positions by reviewing the ETH Spot Analysis.

Across the market, ETH remaining above EMA20 (3.165,92 dollars) confirms the short-term bull trend. However, the Supertrend indicator still being bearish (resistance 3.656,69 dollars) requires caution from a broader perspective. This dynamic, when compared to ETH’s spot market ETH Futures Analysis, highlights the pressure from leveraged positions in futures trading.

Technical Analysis: Levels to Watch

Support Zones

The nearest support level is at 3.316,58 dollars (strength score 67/100), positioned just below the current price and aligning with the 24-hour lows. This level forms a strong base as one of the pivot points on the daily chart; a bounce from here will be critical for trend continuation. In the event of a deeper correction, 3.079,11 dollars (score 62/100) comes into play – this level aligns with Fibonacci retracement ratios on the weekly timeframe and is one of 3 support points in MTF confluence. Holding these zones will preserve the integrity of the uptrend; otherwise, the psychological 3,000 dollar threshold could be tested.

Resistance Barriers

The first resistance is at 3.352,41 dollars (score 80/100), located near the 24-hour high and forming a strong barrier on the daily chart. Breaking this level could trigger short-term bulls. Additional resistances from 3D and 1W timeframes in MTF (total 6 resistance points) combine with the 3.656 dollar Supertrend line, making a move to higher targets challenging. A successful breakout would pave the way to the 4,000 dollar target, while rejection would likely lead back to current supports.

Momentum Indicators and Trend Strength

RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 63.20 exhibits healthy bull momentum without approaching overbought territory. This value confirms the sustainability of the uptrend on the daily chart, though the 70 threshold should be monitored for potential overbought signals. The MACD indicator delivers a clear bull signal with a positive histogram; the MACD line remaining above the signal line confirms strengthening momentum. Staying above short-term EMAs (especially EMA20: 3.165,92 dollars) reinforces trend strength – this points to an ascending channel aligned with the 50 and 200-day EMAs.

However, the bearish Supertrend paints a cautious picture for the longer-term trend. MTF confluence on the weekly chart shows balanced trend strength, though the slight volume decline may imply momentum fatigue. Overall, the indicators support an upward bias; the synchronization of RSI and MACD highlights the bull scenario in the short-to-medium term. These dynamics strengthen ETH’s leading position in the broader crypto ecosystem.

Risk Assessment and Trading Outlook

In terms of risk/reward ratio, the bull target at 4,000 dollars (approximately 21% upside from current price) is balanced against the bear target at 2,000 dollars (40% downside). For entries near the 3.316 dollar support, the R/R ratio around 1:1.5 appears attractive, but a resistance breakout should be awaited. In a negative scenario, a break below 3.079 support could lead to a quick drop to 2.800 dollars – potentially triggered by a shift in overall market sentiment.

The overall outlook remains optimistic under the dominance of the uptrend; however, MTF resistance density and the Supertrend bear signal increase volatility risk. Investors should monitor volume increases and RSI divergences. A positive breakout makes 4,000 dollars realistic, while a negative one makes support tests inevitable. This analysis reminds that market conditions are dynamic and recommends multi-timeframe monitoring.