Joerg Hiller
Jan 19, 2026 06:31
UNI trades at $4.99 after -6.12% decline, with technical analysis suggesting potential bounce to $5.85-$6.29 range if key $4.98 Bollinger Band support holds through month-end.
UNI Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $5.85
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $5.40-$6.29 range
• Bullish breakout level: $6.22 (upper Bollinger Band)
• Critical support: $4.98 (lower Bollinger Band)
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap
While specific analyst predictions from recent trading sessions are limited, several technical forecasts from earlier this month provide insight into UNI’s trajectory. Peter Zhang noted on January 9th that “UNI price prediction shows bearish momentum at $5.40 with RSI at 41.60. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $6.29 upper Bollinger Band if $5.30 support holds through January,” targeting $6.29.
Rebeca Moen’s January 11th analysis outlined a “UNI Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $5.85; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $5.40-$6.29 range; Bullish breakout level: $6.26 (upper Bollinger Band); Critical support: $5.40.” CoinCodex projected that “Over the next five days, Uniswap will reach the highest price of $5.85 on Jan 13, 2026, which would represent 7.20% growth compared to the current price.”
According to on-chain data and technical indicators, UNI’s current positioning near the lower Bollinger Band suggests potential for mean reversion if support levels hold.
UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown
UNI currently trades at $4.99, down 6.12% in the last 24 hours, with the token testing critical support at the lower Bollinger Band of $4.98. The Bollinger Band position of 0.0092 indicates UNI is extremely close to oversold territory, historically a level where bounce opportunities emerge.
The RSI reading of 35.88 sits in neutral territory but approaches oversold conditions, suggesting selling pressure may be exhausting. However, the MACD histogram at -0.0000 with both MACD (-0.1696) and signal line (-0.1696) in negative territory confirms bearish momentum remains intact.
Moving averages paint a concerning picture for the Uniswap forecast, with price trading below all major timeframes: 7-day SMA ($5.36), 20-day SMA ($5.60), 50-day SMA ($5.64), and significantly below the 200-day SMA at $7.70. The EMA 12 ($5.39) and EMA 26 ($5.56) both act as immediate resistance levels.
Key trading levels show strong resistance at $5.78 with immediate resistance at $5.38, while support levels sit at $4.61 (immediate) and $4.22 (strong support). The daily ATR of $0.32 indicates moderate volatility, typical for UNI’s current price range.
Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
If UNI holds the critical $4.98 lower Bollinger Band support, a technical bounce toward the middle band at $5.60 becomes probable. Breaking above the immediate resistance at $5.38 would target the upper Bollinger Band at $6.22, aligning with previous analyst predictions of $6.29.
Volume confirmation above $40 million daily would strengthen this scenario, with the RSI moving above 50 providing additional bullish confirmation. A sustained break above $5.78 strong resistance could push UNI toward the $6.29 target within the month.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold $4.98 support would likely trigger a move toward $4.61 immediate support, with a break below potentially testing the strong support at $4.22. Such a decline would represent approximately 15% downside from current levels.
The concerning distance from the 200-day SMA at $7.70 suggests UNI remains in a broader downtrend, making any recovery attempts vulnerable to selling pressure at key resistance levels.
Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy
For aggressive traders, the current level near $4.99 offers a high-risk, high-reward entry opportunity with tight stop-loss at $4.85 (below lower Bollinger Band). Conservative investors should wait for confirmation above $5.38 before entering positions.
A dollar-cost averaging approach between $4.80-$5.20 could be effective given UNI’s proximity to technical support levels. Set stop-losses at $4.70 to limit downside risk while targeting initial profit-taking at $5.60 (middle Bollinger Band).
Risk management remains crucial given the 24-hour trading range of $4.62-$5.40, indicating significant intraday volatility that could test position sizing strategies.
Conclusion
The UNI price prediction suggests a potential recovery to $5.85-$6.29 range over the coming weeks, contingent on holding current support levels. While bearish momentum persists as indicated by MACD readings, the oversold positioning near Bollinger Band lows historically presents bounce opportunities.
Traders should monitor the $4.98 support level closely, as a break below would invalidate near-term bullish scenarios. The confluence of analyst targets around $5.85-$6.29 provides reasonable upside objectives if technical conditions improve.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are highly speculative and subject to extreme volatility. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260119-price-prediction-uni-targets-585-recovery-by-end-of
