Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

903 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Robinhood’s FTX-Linked MIAXdx Stake Could Boost Competition in Prediction Markets

Robinhood’s FTX-Linked MIAXdx Stake Could Boost Competition in Prediction Markets

The post Robinhood’s FTX-Linked MIAXdx Stake Could Boost Competition in Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Robinhood Markets and Susquehanna International Group are acquiring a 90% stake in MIAXdx, an FTX-linked exchange formerly known as LedgerX, to expand into prediction markets. This strategic move positions them against competitors like Kalshi and Polymarket amid surging interest in event-based trading platforms. Acquisition Details: Robinhood and Susquehanna secure majority control of MIAXdx, a CFTC-licensed clearinghouse with roots in the FTX ecosystem. The deal follows Robinhood’s recent launch of a futures and derivatives platform, enhancing access to prediction markets for retail investors. Prediction markets grew significantly in 2024, with platforms like Kalshi reaching a $11 billion valuation and Polymarket gaining CFTC approval for U.S. operations. Discover how Robinhood’s acquisition of an FTX-linked exchange boosts its prediction markets entry. Explore competition with Kalshi, Polymarket, and market growth trends in 2024. Stay informed on crypto trading innovations today. What is Robinhood’s Acquisition of the FTX-Linked MIAXdx Exchange? Robinhood’s acquisition of a stake in MIAXdx, formerly LedgerX, marks a pivotal expansion into prediction markets for the trading platform. In a deal announced recently, Robinhood Markets and Susquehanna International Group are purchasing a 90% stake in the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed exchange and clearinghouse. This acquisition, valued in the context of Miami International Holdings’ prior $50 million purchase in 2023, allows Robinhood to integrate advanced derivatives and event contract offerings shortly after launching its own futures platform. How Does This Position Robinhood Against Competitors in Prediction Markets? The acquisition directly challenges established players like Kalshi and Polymarket, which have dominated the prediction markets space. Kalshi, for instance, saw its valuation soar to $11 billion following a funding round led by Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, reflecting investor confidence in event-based trading tied to real-world outcomes such as U.S. elections. Polymarket, a blockchain-based platform, received CFTC approval to operate a U.S.-intermediated trading venue, enabling broader…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood Stock Rises Following Deal That Could Boost Its Prediction Market Push

Robinhood Stock Rises Following Deal That Could Boost Its Prediction Market Push

The post Robinhood Stock Rises Following Deal That Could Boost Its Prediction Market Push appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In brief Trading app Robinhood has acquired a 90% stake in derivatives exchange LedgerX, in partnership with Susquehanna International Group. Research firm Bernstein believes the acquisition is a move by Robinhood to launch its own prediction market platform, alongside the Kalshi-powered “events contracts” it already offers. As a result, shares of HOOD have risen 8% on Wednesday as the firm inches closer to its September all-time high. Robinhood may be making a push towards launching its own dedicated prediction market platform, acquiring a 90% stake in derivatives exchange LedgerX, which was previously owned by the now-defunct FTX. In response, the shares of HOOD have climbed more than 8% to $125 since Wednesday’s market open, according to Yahoo Finance. “Robinhood is seeing strong customer demand for prediction markets, and we’re excited to build on that momentum,” said JB Mackenzie, VP and general manager of futures and international at Robinhood, in a statement. “Our investment in infrastructure will position us to deliver an even better experience and more innovative products for customers.” The popular trading app partnered with prediction market Kalshi in the summer to start offering what it brands as “event contracts,” which its CEO Vlad Tenev said were “really on fire” in a recent earnings call.  However, research firm Bernstein believes the acquisition of LedgerX, which does business under the name MIAX, is a move by Robinhood to launch its own event contracts alongside the Kalshi-powered offerings. “With HOOD already accounting for more than 50% of Kalshi market volumes, we believe, HOOD wants to leverage its distribution edge to claim a higher share of the market revenue pool,” Bernstein analysts said in a note shared with Decrypt. “By adding its own prediction markets liquidity, HOOD can innovate further on product mix leading to more revenue upside from both growing…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood, Susquehanna Take Over LedgerX to Expand Prediction Markets

Robinhood, Susquehanna Take Over LedgerX to Expand Prediction Markets

The post Robinhood, Susquehanna Take Over LedgerX to Expand Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes The partnership acquires MIAXdx, formerly LedgerX, providing CFTC-regulated derivatives trading infrastructure. Prediction markets drove 9 billion contracts across 1 million users, becoming Robinhood’s fastest-growing product line. HOOD shares surged 12% on the news, contributing to a 243% year-to-date rally and bullish analyst price targets. Robinhood Markets, Inc. (Nasdaq: HOOD) has announced a major expansion into prediction markets through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group. The new partnership will take control of LedgerX, a regulated crypto derivatives exchange previously owned by Miami International Holdings. The acquisition positions Robinhood to launch a futures and derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, deepening its presence in the trendy prediction market industry, Reuters reported. A Joint Venture Structure to Offer Prediction Markets The independent exchange will be managed by the joint venture, with Robinhood serving as the controlling partner. Susquehanna International Group, a company famous for being one of the most prominent investors in Bitcoin ETFs, will act as the day-one liquidity provider, while other market makers are expected to join to enhance execution quality. The venture will acquire MIAXdx, a CFTC-licensed Designated Contract Market (DCM), Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO), and Swap Execution Facility (SEF). This company, formerly LedgerX, was one of the first to offer regulated Bitcoin options in the US under CFTC regulation and was part of the FTX empire before its collapse. Miami International Holdings will retain a 10% equity stake in the new exchange. Robinhood is introducing a new futures and derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, deepening our investment in Prediction Markets and better positioning us to deliver innovative products to our customers. More in our newsroom: https://t.co/Hqv6EMXZiD pic.twitter.com/JXDkp3c2Tr — Robinhood (@RobinhoodApp) November 25, 2025 Prediction Markets Momentum Prediction markets have become Robinhood’s fastest-growing product line by revenue, with more than 9 billion contracts traded by over 1 million customers in just…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
US midday market brief: Dow rallies over 400 points as Oracle’s AI boost propels S&P 500, Nasdaq higher

US midday market brief: Dow rallies over 400 points as Oracle’s AI boost propels S&P 500, Nasdaq higher

Wall Street extended its winning streak to four consecutive sessions on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing over 400 points by midday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both gaining ground.The rally, driven by optimism over a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in December and renewed appetite for artificial intelligence stocks, found fresh fuel in strong earnings from Oracle and Dell Technologies.Traders are pricing in an 83% probability of a December rate cut, underpinning risk sentiment as markets head into the holiday-shortened trading week.​The broad-based momentum reflects investor confidence that the AI narrative remains intact despite earlier concerns about slowing growth and competitive pressures.Earnings beats from major technology firms continue to shift sentiment away from recession fears, with Dell’s record AI server demand providing particular encouragement for the infrastructure buildout that’s underpinning the sector’s comeback.​Oracle sparks tech gains, jobless data adds supportOracle shares climbed 4-5% on Wednesday after strategically positioning itself at the forefront of the AI infrastructure race.The software giant announced major partnerships with Nvidia and AMD to develop AI supercomputers for national labs, underscoring its role as a critical enabler in the AI economy.This move amplified broader tech enthusiasm, with Dell Technologies surging 6.7% after reporting record demand for AI servers and raising full-year guidance, a clear signal that corporate spending on artificial-intelligence infrastructure remains robust.​Sentiment received an additional boost from fresher labor-market data. Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 22 fell to 216,000 from 222,000, beating economist expectations of 225,000 and signaling that layoffs are easing.The softer labor reading, combined with earlier retail-sales misses and producer-price data that remained within expectations, has reinforced the case for a December Fed rate cut.The 10-year Treasury yield edged up to 4.03%, while the 2-year yield rose to 3.49%, as market participants repositioned ahead of the central bank’s December meeting.​Nvidia also added 2.5%, recovering from earlier losses related to competition from Alphabet ‘s AI chips.By midday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 had posted a 1.1% gain, with all eleven S&P 500 sectors trading in positive territory, led by technology, materials, and consumer staples.​Retail trades strong, volatility fadesConsumer discretionary stocks also participated in the rally.Urban Outfitters surged 11.7% after earnings that beat Wall Street expectations, while Robinhood jumped nearly 8% following its announcement of a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group to acquire LedgerX for prediction-markets trading.Deere & Company, however, dropped nearly 4% after issuing a downbeat outlook, citing tariff pressures, a reminder that trade policy remains a headwind for some industrial sectors.​The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” extended its decline for a fourth straight session, falling more than 5% as risk-off sentiment faded.This suggests institutional investors are increasingly comfortable rotating into equities and away from defensive positions.The Nasdaq has gained more than 4% so far this holiday-shortened week, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average are up 3.4% and 2.8%, respectively.​International markets tracked the rally, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumping 1.9%, Germany’s DAX gaining 0.7%, and France’s CAC 40 rising 0.6%, as major exporters and technology counters benefited from the synchronized optimism.​What to watch next: The US equity market will be closedon  Thursday for Thanksgiving and operate on shortened hourson  Friday, ending at 1 PM E.T.Focus will shift to December Fed rate-cut odds as additional economic data arrives and corporate guidance updates shape expectations heading into 2026.​The post US midday market brief: Dow rallies over 400 points as Oracle's AI boost propels S&P 500, Nasdaq higher appeared first on Invezz

Author: Coinstats
The Daily: Robinhood takes aim at larger prediction-market share, Grayscale files to launch first-ever Zcash ETF, and more

The Daily: Robinhood takes aim at larger prediction-market share, Grayscale files to launch first-ever Zcash ETF, and more

The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.

Author: The Block
Prediction Markets Driving Expansion Plans at Robinhood

Prediction Markets Driving Expansion Plans at Robinhood

The post Prediction Markets Driving Expansion Plans at Robinhood appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Trading platform Robinhood said prediction markets have emerged as one of its fastest-growing product lines in terms of revenue, and it is set to expand the business with a futures and derivatives exchange and clearinghouse. Since launching its prediction markets in March in partnership with prediction market platform Kalshi, nine billion contracts have been traded by more than one million users, Robinhood said in a statement on Tuesday.  JB Mackenzie, general manager of futures and international at Robinhood, said the platform was “seeing strong customer demand for prediction markets, and we’re excited to build on that momentum.” Robinhood said it plans to deepen its investment in prediction markets with a futures and derivatives exchange and clearinghouse. Source: Robinhood “Our investment in infrastructure will position us to deliver an even better experience and more innovative products for customers,” Mackenzie added. Robinhood derivatives exchange will launch in 2026 The exchange will have Robinhood as the controlling partner and market maker, and Susquehanna International Group as the day-one liquidity provider. As part of the venture, Robinhood will also acquire MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) licensed derivatives clearing organization and swap execution facility. Robinhood said the derivatives exchange is expected to begin operations in 2026.  Prediction market interest surging Prediction markets have become one of the hottest crypto offerings this year, with volumes on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket holding firm amid increased mainstream media attention.   Kalshi is a regulated prediction market platform in the US that operates under the oversight of the CFTC and has had a trading volume of $4.47 billion over the last 30 days, according to DeFi data aggregator DefiLlama. Prediction market Kalshi has recorded a trading volume of $4.47 billion over the last 30 days. Source: DefiLlama In comparison, Polymarket, a US-based cryptocurrency-based prediction market, has…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood Expands Prediction Market Reach With Launch of New Derivatives Platform

Robinhood Expands Prediction Market Reach With Launch of New Derivatives Platform

The post Robinhood Expands Prediction Market Reach With Launch of New Derivatives Platform appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Robinhood will be opening a new derivatives and futures exchange as part of its growth into the prediction markets. Besides this, the company has also made changes on other fronts as it eyes a larger share of this $9 billion market. Robinhood Doubles Down on Prediction Markets Expansion In a blog post published today, the exchange announced plans to expand its prediction markets with a dedicated futures and derivatives exchange. The new marketplace will operate independently under a joint venture owned by Robinhood. Susquehanna International Group will act as a day-one liquidity provider. Additional liquidity partners will be added in due course to boost its market depth. This step shows the company’s growth in the prediction markets. Users traded over nine billion contracts alone in its first year of service, involving over one million customers. The new exchange will also trade with other futures commission merchants. It plans to start operations in 2026. The company is seeing “strong customer demand” for its prediction based products, according to JB Mackenzie, Vice President at the firm. “Robinhood sees strong customer demand for prediction markets, and we’re excited to build on that momentum,” he said. “Our investment in infrastructure will position us to deliver an even better experience and more innovative products for customers.” The company posted net income of $556 million for Q3. This is more than triple the previous year’s figure. Meanwhile, total revenue hit a record $1.27 billion. This is inclusive of about $25 million from market activity through its partnership with Kalshi. Kalshi itself recently partnered with Coinbase. The exchange will handle USDC custody and settlement for its platform. Robinhood has also expanded the kinds of event contracts that can be traded on its app. This includes political, entertainment, and technology-related markets. Crypto Exchanges Push Into Prediction Markets The…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading

Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading

BitcoinWorld Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading Have you heard about Robinhood’s latest game-changing move? The popular trading platform is diving deep into the prediction market space by partnering with Susquehanna International Group to create a CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange. This strategic expansion could reshape how we bet on future events, from politics to economics, all while tapping into a multi-billion dollar opportunity. […] This post Revolutionary Prediction Market: Robinhood’s Bold Move with SIG to Dominate CFTC-Regulated Trading first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Bernstein says Robinhood wants to leverage distribution edge for greater prediction-market share as Coinbase readies December move

Bernstein says Robinhood wants to leverage distribution edge for greater prediction-market share as Coinbase readies December move

The Bernstein analysts also expect Coinbase to unveil its own prediction-markets platform at its Dec. 17 event.

Author: The Block
Robinhood to Launch 2026 Derivatives Exchange, Expanding Its Fast-Growing Prediction Market

Robinhood to Launch 2026 Derivatives Exchange, Expanding Its Fast-Growing Prediction Market

The post Robinhood to Launch 2026 Derivatives Exchange, Expanding Its Fast-Growing Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Robinhood is intensifying its revenue diversification by expanding the prediction market business, now highlighted as one of its fastest-growing income streams. In a Tuesday release, the platform confirmed plans to broaden its digital-market footprint with an upcoming futures and derivatives exchange and a dedicated clearinghouse. Since partnering with Kalshi in March to launch the prediction market, more than 1 million users have traded above 9 billion contracts, signaling robust demand and meaningful engagement. Looking ahead, Robinhood targets a 2026 derivatives exchange launch, majority-owned by Robinhood and supported by SIG as the initial liquidity provider. The company also disclosed its MIAXdx acquisition, a CFTC-licensed clearing organization and swap-execution facility, to strengthen execution and risk-management capabilities. The strategic push aims to elevate trading infrastructure, deliver innovative products, and deepen participation in crypto-adjacent markets while maintaining strict regulatory compliance. Source: https://en.coinotag.com/breakingnews/robinhood-to-launch-2026-derivatives-exchange-expanding-its-fast-growing-prediction-market

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews