Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

896 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
After CFTC Fine, Polymarket Reopens U.S. Prediction Market in Beta

After CFTC Fine, Polymarket Reopens U.S. Prediction Market in Beta

TLDR: Polymarket reopens in the U.S. through a phased beta rollout, offering real bets on live markets. After a $1.4 million CFTC fine, Polymarket returns under a regulated structure via QCX acquisition. The beta launch follows completed U.S. probes as interest in prediction markets continues to grow. Polymarket’s U.S. entry bridges blockchain prediction markets with [...] The post After CFTC Fine, Polymarket Reopens U.S. Prediction Market in Beta appeared first on Blockonomi.

Author: Blockonomi
Polymarket Strikes Exclusive Deal With Yahoo Finance for Prediction Market Data

Polymarket Strikes Exclusive Deal With Yahoo Finance for Prediction Market Data

The post Polymarket Strikes Exclusive Deal With Yahoo Finance for Prediction Market Data appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket has announced an exclusive partnership with Yahoo Finance, becoming the sole provider of prediction market data on one of the world’s most-visited financial platforms. Polymarket Partners With Yahoo Finance, Strengthening Web3-TradFi Bridge Polymarket’s Nov. 12 announcement marks a major step in integrating blockchain-based prediction markets with traditional finance (TradFi). Under the agreement, Yahoo Finance […] Source: https://news.bitcoin.com/polymarket-strikes-exclusive-deal-with-yahoo-finance-for-prediction-market-data/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket to become exclusive partner for Yahoo Finance

Polymarket to become exclusive partner for Yahoo Finance

Prediction markets are becoming a mainstream phenomenon across politics, sports, and business. Polymarket's latest move exemplifies this trend.

Author: Crypto.news
Polymarket Becomes Yahoo Finance’s Exclusive Crypto Prediction Market Provider

Polymarket Becomes Yahoo Finance’s Exclusive Crypto Prediction Market Provider

The post Polymarket Becomes Yahoo Finance’s Exclusive Crypto Prediction Market Provider appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Notes The exclusive agreement positions Polymarket ahead of competitors as Google also integrates prediction market data from multiple platforms. Crypto-native infrastructure using USDC on Polygon enables global participation, driving higher bet volumes and market significance. Prediction markets offer controversial yet valuable insights as traders leverage odds-based forecasting on real-world events with substantial volumes. Polymarket—a crypto-native, leading prediction market—has now partnered with Yahoo Finance to become the exclusive provider of such service to the news and data service platform. The exclusive partnership will provide real-time insights based on Polymarket’s bets to Yahoo Finance users and highlight the importance prediction markets are gaining as event-based forecasting tools. Notably, Polymarket grew to be the prediction market with the highest volume and easiest accessibility thanks to being a crypto-native platform running, initially, on Polygon, using Circle’s dollar-pegged stablecoin, USDC, as the native currency for placing bets and receiving the rewards. The brand has formed significant alliances and partnerships in recent months, expanding its offerings and market share. Partnering with Yahoo Finance under an exclusive agreement positions Polymarket even further in the prediction market race. Polymarket 🤝 Yahoo We’re excited to announce Polymarket is now the exclusive prediction market partner for Yahoo Finance. pic.twitter.com/eramDARxHr — Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 12, 2025 Google, a direct competitor to Yahoo and industry leader, is also tapping into prediction market-oriented insights from Polymarket and Kalshi for the Google Search and Google Finance products, as Coinspeaker reported on November 6. Crypto-Native Prediction Market: Polymarket Prediction markets are equally important and controversial while offering insights to the broader population. Basically, they work in a way where traders can place odds-oriented bets on events that have not happened yet, profiting from the opposing odds if the event happens as forecasted. For example, a popular bet currently going on Polymarket is on what…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
PrizePicks Joins Polymarket in US Prediction Market Push

PrizePicks Joins Polymarket in US Prediction Market Push

The post PrizePicks Joins Polymarket in US Prediction Market Push appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. PrizePicks, one of North America’s largest daily fantasy sports operators, has partnered with Polymarket to expand into the prediction-markets space, a move that could open new revenue streams beyond its core fantasy sports business. The partnership will integrate Polymarket’s event contracts directly into the PrizePicks app, allowing users to make predictions on outcomes spanning sports, entertainment and cultural events, the companies disclosed Tuesday.  Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan said the collaboration could attract millions of PrizePicks users to the emerging prediction-markets ecosystem. Both companies said the rollout will coincide with Polymarket’s re-entry to the United States, signaling a renewed push to bring regulated prediction trading to American users. For PrizePicks, the move represents a strategic expansion beyond daily fantasy contests, positioning the company to diversify engagement and stand out in an increasingly competitive sports gaming landscape. Polymarket leads the prediction-market space in terms of volume and total markets. Source: Polymarket Analytics Polymarket stands out in the event-outcome prediction space for its decentralized design, built on the Polygon blockchain, which allows markets to operate transparently and without a central intermediary.  The platform gained prominence during the 2024 US presidential election cycle, when its trading activity and market odds correctly anticipated Donald Trump’s return to the White House well before traditional polls reflected the shift. Related: Polymarket eyes $10B valuation as CFTC clears path to US return Prediction market growth comes under scrutiny Polymarket’s rapid rise has not been without controversy. A recent academic paper by researchers at Columbia University found that up to 60% of the platform’s trading volume may have been artificially inflated, primarily through wash trading — a practice in which the same entity repeatedly buys and sells an asset to create the illusion of market activity and liquidity. The researchers said they detected extensive wash trading on…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Ideosphere Hopes Its Prediction Markets Will Fund Science

Ideosphere Hopes Its Prediction Markets Will Fund Science

The post Ideosphere Hopes Its Prediction Markets Will Fund Science appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The co-founders of the decentralized science startup Ideosphere told Cointelegraph they aim to redirect the speculative energy of crypto prediction markets toward financing early-stage scientific research. Speaking to Cointelegraph at the Blockchain for Good Awards event in Copenhagen, Denmark, Ideosphere co-founder and head of technology Rei Jarram said that some research is considered too risky to invest in through traditional channels. She said that seeing the volume of money flowing to crypto gambling platforms prompted the project’s founders to wonder “if you could kind of siphon some of that speculation away from gambling toward early-stage research.” Jarram saw prediction markets as a perfect fit since “gamblers have a high risk appetite and early stage research and development is pretty risky.” Ideosphere prediction market UI Mockup. Source: Ideosphere Jarram said that while talent and innovation exist in abundance, funding remains scarce because traditional channels consider such projects too risky. “The money is there” she said, “but if they can’t get the money, it’s probably because of an incentive issue,” which is what Ideosphere hopes to solve. “If you can kind of create prediction markets around early stage research, you can make those markets a marketplace of ideas that will actually bring the money in. […] Researchers can put forward hypotheses that they are working on and traders can speculate on it, and the spread goes to the researcher.” The project is still in the early stages of development, with only front-end mockups available so far. Still, they have been awarded 10,000 USDt (USDT) of funding by the Blockchain for Good Alliance during the event. Ideosphere co-founders Mariana Oka (left) and Rei Jarram (right). Source: LinkedIn Related: Decentralized science will bring the brain on-chain It’s not that simple As with most decentralized science (DeSci) projects, Ideosphere is more complex than it may appear…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
U.S. Shutdown Days From Ending, Health Care Dispute Continues

U.S. Shutdown Days From Ending, Health Care Dispute Continues

The post U.S. Shutdown Days From Ending, Health Care Dispute Continues appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The record-long U.S. government shutdown appears to be in its final stretch, with prediction markets signaling overwhelming confidence that a deal will clear Congress within days. On Polymarket, traders now assign a 96% probability that the government reopens between November 12 and 15, aligning with the expected House vote on the Senate’s bipartisan funding bill. Over on Kalshi, contracts tied to the duration of the shutdown have seen similar momentum, with traders pricing in an end within the next 72 hours as confidence surged following the Senate’s 60–40 vote to fund the government through January 30. The jump in odds followed a decisive shift in Washington over the weekend. Seven Senate Democrats broke ranks to join Republicans in advancing a bill that reverses mass federal layoffs, restores back pay and food assistance, and keeps federal agencies running but leaves one politically explosive issue unresolved: the expiring Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies, which help lower monthly insurance premiums for millions. December vote on subsidies Even some of Trump’s allies are pushing back. Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene accused party leaders of “having no plan” to address potential doubling of premiums if subsidies lapse, while a bloc of endangered House Republicans has urged Speaker Mike Johnson to act before year’s end. Johnson has yet to commit to a vote on ACA relief, though he pledged to hold “a deliberative process” after the government reopens. A December Senate vote on the subsidies is part of the shutdown deal, but passage remains uncertain. If prediction markets are right, the government could reopen by Nov. 14, once the House passes the funding bill and Trump signs it. But as Kalshi and Polymarket traders lock in profits at the end of the shutdown, both parties are still gambling on a far tougher question: who gets blamed for…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Major fantasy sports operator enters prediction markets with Polymarket

Major fantasy sports operator enters prediction markets with Polymarket

                                                                               PrizePicks has teamed up with Polymarket to let users wager on real-world outcomes, expanding beyond fantasy sports into the growing prediction-market space.                     PrizePicks, one of North America’s largest daily fantasy sports operators, has partnered with Polymarket to expand into the prediction-markets space — a move that could open new revenue streams beyond its core fantasy sports business.The partnership will integrate Polymarket’s event contracts directly into the PrizePicks app, allowing users to make predictions on outcomes spanning sports, entertainment and cultural events, the companies disclosed Tuesday. Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan said the collaboration could attract millions of PrizePicks users to the emerging prediction-markets ecosystem.Read more

Author: Coinstats
Why Altcoins like Best Wallet Token Can Soar

Why Altcoins like Best Wallet Token Can Soar

The post Why Altcoins like Best Wallet Token Can Soar appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto Presales Takeaways: Google’s public validation of prediction markets like Polymarket speeds up the adoption of dApps and essential Web3 infrastructure by a global audience. The massive influx of new users shows a shift toward wallets built for complexity and security, creating a competitive advantage for Best Wallet. Best Wallet Token ($BEST) has raised over $16.8M, showing strong market confidence as a next-gen infrastructure play. The $BEST token offers holders immediate utility through staking rewards (currently 78% APY) and exclusive early access to new tokens via the in-app launchpad. The crypto world just got a massive nod from the mainstream. In a move that quietly validates decentralized utility, Google is now integrating prediction market data from major platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi directly into its search results. In a recent press release, Google explained it isn’t just a simple update; it allows anyone using Google Finance to ask natural questions about future events and receive crowd-sourced probabilities straight from these platforms. It’s a powerful move that effectively merges the ‘wisdom of the crowds’ with traditional search. This integration is a seismic event for the best altcoins and the entire Web3 ecosystem. Prediction markets, where users bet on everything – from political outcomes to economic figures – have seen their trading volume explode, occasionally topping $2B during recent speculative periods. Source: Dune By putting these decentralized probabilities in front of Google’s billions of daily search requests, the tech giant is essentially onboarding a global, non-crypto-native audience to a fundamental DeFi concept. This moment of institutional recognition, underlined by Polymarket’s reported valuation of around $9B following investment from Intercontinental Exchange (which owns the NYSE), creates a powerful new market narrative. As millions of new users explore prediction markets and other dApps, they immediately hit the core requirement of Web3: a secure, self-custody…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Google Finance to Add Support for Prediction Markets Polymarket, Kalshi

Google Finance to Add Support for Prediction Markets Polymarket, Kalshi

The post Google Finance to Add Support for Prediction Markets Polymarket, Kalshi appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The search giant says users can soon ask questions about future market events and “harness the wisdom of the crowds.” Google Finance will soon show live prediction market data from Polymarket and Kalshi, letting users view probabilities for future events directly on the platform. In a blog post on Nov. 6, Google’s director of product management for Search, Robert Dunnette, said the company is adding support for prediction markets data from Kalshi and Polymarket, so users “can ask questions about future market events and harness the wisdom of the crowds.” Dunnette explained: “Just ask something like ‘What will GDP growth be for 2025?’ directly from the search box to see current probabilities in the market and how they’ve changed over time.” Search results for prediction markets data. While Google didn’t give exact dates, Dunnette said prediction markets data “will roll out over the coming weeks,” first reaching Labs users, those who have opted into early experiments with Google Finance’s new features. The integration comes as both leading prediction markets combined did more volume in October than Polymarket did in its first four years. As The Defiant reported earlier, October marked the prediction market sector’s best month yet, with leading platforms Kalshi and Polymarket processing a cumulative $7.4 billion in volume, well above their previous record in November 2024, when they processed a total of $4 billion driven by the U.S. Presidential election. Source: https://thedefiant.io/news/defi/google-finance-to-add-support-for-prediction-markets-polymarket-kalshi

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews